100% Chance of Crisis, Worse Than 2008: Jim Rogers

100%の確率で、2008年より酷い危機が訪れると、ジムロジャース氏が発言しています。ホント、ギリシャさえまともに解決できていないのに、その後に控えるポルトガル、スペイン、アイルランド、イタリアそしてオーストリア、オーストラリア、カナダ、フランスなんかもバブっていたわけで、ホントこの危機の連鎖は、2008年なんか比較にならないぐらいだと思っています。完全にバブル・オン・バブルですからね。

おっと、重鎮中の重鎮、中国を忘れていました。こっちは、見せ掛けの数値を思いっきり誤魔化しているので、崩壊したら、あっという間に国が分裂するんじゃないかなと思っています。

●CNBCより
　http://www.cnbc.com/id/45219555

The world is definitely going to face another financial crisis stemming from problems in Europe, Jim Rogers said Wednesday.

"We're certainly going to have more crises coming out of Europe and America; the world is in trouble. The world has been spending staggering amounts of money that it doesn't have for a few decades now, and it's all coming home to roost," Rogers, CEO and chairman Rogers Holdings told CNBC.

He added that the crisis would be much worse than the one markets saw in 2008 because the debt is much higher now.

"Last time, America quadrupled its debt. The system is much more extended now, and America cannot quadruple its debt again. Greece cannot double its debt again. The next time around is going to be much worse," Rogers said.

"In 2002 it was bad, in 2008 it was worse and 2012 or 2013 is going to be worse still – be careful," he added.


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Rogers said he was long the euro despite the euro zone facing deep crises, but said all paper money was now under duress.

"I own several paper currencies. My theory is that if things get better I will make money in commodities, and if they don't get better I'll make money in commodities because they'll print more money and stocks will be going down a lot," he said.

"I own the euro because everyone is beating it down so badly and the US dollar too," he added.

He said all the main currencies were in terrible shape but he still expected to make money from them.

Rogers told CNBC the only solution to the crisis was to let everyone go bankrupt.

"Get everyone in a room and decide you will go bankrupt. You will survive and we're going to ringfence you. We'll make sure your checks clear. Everyone's deposits are going to be ok, the system's going to survive.

"But we are going to have a lot of pain that way the system would survive because some countries including Germany have credibility," Rogers said.

He said if Greece left the euro it would be a disaster for the Greeks because they would go back to the "same old ways".

"They would start printing money. No one would lend them money. Inflation would go through the roof and the Greek economy would get worse and worse. That's not good for Greece. It's not good for the world," he said.

"It would be better off if we can hold the euro together and we reorganize. People are bankrupt and when people are bankrupt you might as well face reality. Reorganize the assets, competent people (will) come in and you start over from a sound base," Rogers said.

日本を見捨てる富裕層【週間ダイヤモンド】

中国もそうらしいですけど、日本人でも結構、シンガポールやカナダ、オーストラリアへ疎開（逃げ出している）している人が多いらしいですね。

まぁ、私も日本政府が信じられなくて、海外に逃げ出した人間なので、あまり人のことは非難できませんが、果たして5年後、10年後がどうなっているのか、気になりますよね。

特にシンガポールのように、資源が無い国は、今のような金融とか外資を使って、人のふんどしで相撲をとっているうちはいいですけど、有事の際にはどうするんだろう？と思います。実態の無い、本当にうすっぺらい国ですからね。そういう意味で、オーストラリアやカナダなんていうのは資源に裏打ちをされているので、ある程度安心はできますけど・・・・。

昔のブラジル移民、北朝鮮移民のような目に遭わなければいいんですけど、やっぱり、過去の事例がきになります。

●ダイヤモンド
　http://www.diamond.co.jp/magazine/20242100811.html
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